Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has made 61.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 7.2% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.8 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
In regard to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 49.1% field goal rate when playing away from home measures as the 5th-best in the league this year.
The 10th-speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should boost opportunities for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against Detroit is a tough one; when the Pistons are at home, they have allowed the 7th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (13.0).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA as the away team with only 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
In comparison to last season's 6.1 rate, Anthony Davis's foul shots drained have fallen this season to 4.9 per game.
Anthony Davis will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.