Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has converted a terrific 8.7 buckets per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.7 rate last season.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 35.5 minutes per game away from home this year.
The Lakers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 9.0 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have registered 11.3 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, struggling to get to the free-throw line.