Anthony Davis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-166).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has made 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 16.6% more than he's made in all games this year.
Anthony Davis has tallied 35.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis stands to see a spike in production across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis ranks in the 21st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 1.0 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The number of treys scored against Bam Adebayo has been quite low (0.5 per game) when he is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.