Anthony Davis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 16, 2023

Updated May 16, 2023 2:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Davis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-360).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has converted 44.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% more than he's made from three overall this season while on the road.
Anthony Davis has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 93rd percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while on the road this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year in terms of treys.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 12th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (1.2).
The Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Lakers.
Anthony Davis will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance for all stats.