Anthony Davis Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Davis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has totaled 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season at home.
Anthony Davis has tallied 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Lakers.
Anthony Davis will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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