Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 2:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has converted 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Anfernee Simons comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have put up 20.4 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Anfernee Simons ought to see a decline in production across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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