Anfernee Simons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has logged 24.0 points per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
Anfernee Simons has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anfernee Simons has sunk 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.
Anfernee Simons will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons rates in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
In regard to scoring, the Trail Blazers's subpar 107.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have logged 12.2 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).