Anfernee Simons Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Anfernee Simons

NBA · Player Props

Anfernee Simons

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Anfernee Simons Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anfernee Simons has tallied 7.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
Anfernee Simons has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Trail Blazers.
Anfernee Simons will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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