Andrew Wiggins Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has compiled 1.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 84th percentile.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year, their opposition has come down with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
Andrew Wiggins will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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