Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a positive matchup.
The 5th-speediest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Andrew Wiggins has attempted 2.8 free throws per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has sunk 31.9% of his field goals while on the road this year, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
As a team, the Warriors have been lousy at drawing fouls: 7th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a lowly 20.4 free throw attempts per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, making it tough to draw fouls.
Andrew Wiggins should suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

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