Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 26, 2024 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has made 59.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 27.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (21st-most in the NBA) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.
Andrew Wiggins will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has attempted a lowly 10.7 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 14.2 rate last season.
Andrew Wiggins has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 1.1 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.

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