Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 1:48 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 21 games when playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have secured 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have attempted 17.8 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Andrew Wiggins will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made a measly 26.1% of his three-pointers this year, significantly lower than his 35.1 mark last year.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (39.1).
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).
Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins rates in the 24th percentile for free-throw proficiency while playing at home with a an unimpressive 67.3% rate this year.