Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:48 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year, their opposition has come down with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
In comparison to last season's 65.5% rate, Andrew Wiggins's free-throw proficiency has dropped this season to 36.3%.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game since the start of last season (11th-least in the league).

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