Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has scored 11.6 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 86th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 19.6 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Pistons, creating a strong matchup for offensive output.
The Pistons have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 6 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 12thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
While at home, the Pistons have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: worst in the NBA since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 20.3 foul shots per game.
Andrew Wiggins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.