Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 47.2% rate, Andrew Wiggins's shooting performance has risen this season to 49.3%.
Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins rates in the 88th percentile for threes scored when playing away from home, totaling 2.2 per game this year.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Warriors.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
In comparison to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) free throws per [AWAY_ROAD] game, Andrew Wiggins's rate of has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 10 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 2.2 clip, Andrew Wiggins's personal fouls per game have spiked this season to 3.0.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.6 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Suns, marking this as a tough matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns).
When playing away from home, the Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 20.1 foul shots per game as the home team places worst in the league this year.