Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 12, 2023

Updated May 13, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 14.3 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Andrew Wiggins has converted 2.2 threes per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Andrew Wiggins has averaged 32.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Warriors.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (14.2).
When playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.2) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, tallying just 20.2 foul shots per game.
The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).
Andrew Wiggins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance across the board.

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