Andrew Wiggins Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2023

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 6, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 14.3 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.
Andrew Wiggins has converted 2.2 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Andrew Wiggins has tallied 32.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have posted the 13th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (42.5%).
On their home court, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a measly 20.4 free throws per game.
The matchup against the Lakers is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).
Andrew Wiggins will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsens stat production for all stats.

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