Andrew Wiggins Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Andrew Wiggins

NBA · Player Props

Andrew Wiggins

F · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 12, 2023

Updated May 13, 2023 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Andrew Wiggins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Andrew Wiggins has averaged 32.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Andrew Wiggins has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (94th percentile).
When playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.2) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Andrew Wiggins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance across the board.

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