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Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Andre Drummond Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 41.8% rate, Andre Drummond's free-throw effectiveness has declined this year to 51.4%.

This year, opposing squads have attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Andre Drummond has made 0.0% of his 3-point attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Andre Drummond has averaged 12.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the NBA: 18th percentile.

Andre Drummond has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

This matchup is a good one for field goals; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing teams have compiled the highest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (51.7%).

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