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Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Andre Drummond Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Andre Drummond has successfully made 67.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year playing at home.

This matchup is a tough one for field goals; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, opposing squads have shot for the 4th-lowest FG% in the NBA against them this year (45.8%).

Relative to last season's 50.0% rate, Andre Drummond's foul-shot efficiency has surged this season to 65.7%.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted just 19.5 free throws per game this year (4th-least in the NBA).

Andre Drummond is expected to get a boost in efficiency for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Andre Drummond has played 13.4 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA.

When it comes to offense, the Bulls's unimpressive 107.2 points per game with the home court advantage places 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.

The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.

The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bulls.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat (saving possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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