Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2025

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Apr 26, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has made 7.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Amen Thompson has made a whopping 23.0% of his three-point attempts this season, significantly higher than his 13.4 rate last season.
Amen Thompson has played 32.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Rockets are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Amen Thompson should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

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