Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has notched an impressive 14.1 points per game this year, significantly higher than his 9.6 points per game last year.
Amen Thompson has converted 60.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year when playing at home.
Amen Thompson has been on the court for 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The matchup vs. Denver is a positive one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, opposing starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (44.8%).
The Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-pointers.
The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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