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Amen Thompson

Amen Thompson Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Amen Thompson has tallied 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.9 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.

Among all players in the league, Amen Thompson comes in at the 85th percentile for field goal efficiency without the home court advantage with a phenomenal 54.2% rate this year.

Amen Thompson has tallied 38.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to 3-point shots, the Rockets's poor 34.0% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Timberwolves).

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Amen Thompson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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