Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Amen Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Amen Thompson ranks in the 6th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a weak 15.8% rate since the start of last season.
Amen Thompson has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (79th percentile).
The Houston Rockets rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson rates in the 82nd percentile for off-target free throws at home, posting a massive 0.7 per game since the start of last season.

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