Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has converted 58.4% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.3% higher than he's made in all games this season.
Amen Thompson has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 9.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has converted 21.3% of his three-point attempts while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Rockets rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Amen Thompson will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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