Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 9:01 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has made 79.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 29.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Amen Thompson has sunk 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 83.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Amen Thompson has played 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (81st percentile).
When it comes to threes, the Rockets's feeble 35.1% rate of made threes places 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a difficult one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the lowest three rate in the league this year (23.9%).
The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, struggling to get to the foul line.

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