Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has converted 72.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 23.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Amen Thompson has averaged 24.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Amen Thompson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 33.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).
In terms of threes, the Houston Rockets's subpar 35.1% rate of converted threes rates 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have scored 12.1 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The matchup against the Cavaliers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

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