Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has successfully made 57.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing at home.
Amen Thompson has played 26.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has successfully made 12.2% of his 3-point shots when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
While on the road, the Spurs have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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