Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has made 59.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 14.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has successfully made 12.4% of his three-pointers this year, putting him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.
With respect to scoring, the Rockets's lackluster 110.6 points per game while playing on the road rates 8th-weakest in the league this year.
This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; the other team has compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (39.7%).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; when the Charlotte Hornets are playing at home, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 24.1 foul shots per game this year (8th-most in the NBA).

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