Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has sunk 54.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 9.6% more than he's sunk overall this season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Amen Thompson figures to get a boost in efficiency for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson ranks in the 14th percentile for three-point performance while at home with a a poor 20.4% rate this year.
As it relates to offense, the Rockets's unimpressive 113.6 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 7th-lowest in the league over the last 15 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have snagged 12.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a monstrous 28.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

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