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Amen Thompson

Amen Thompson Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson ranks in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, putting up only 1.0 fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season.

The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a measly 21.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (3rd-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson places in the 8th percentile for 3-point effectiveness when playing on the road with a a weak 4.8% rate since the start of last season.

With respect to offense, the Rockets's subpar 110.5 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 7th-fewest in the NBA this year.

This matchup is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team has posted the 5th-highest three rate in the league against them this year (38.3%).

The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.

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