Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 6, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rockets rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a hard one for 3-point shots; their opposition has put up the lowest three percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games (31.7%).
The speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should boost plays for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 21.4 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has converted 22.9% of his 3-point shots while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile among all players in the league.
The Rockets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Amen Thompson has attempted and missed 1.2 free throw attempts per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's missed overall this year while on his home court.

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