Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 120.9 points per game ranks 8th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 8th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
While playing away from home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 21.4 foul shots per game this year (7th-least in the league).
Amen Thompson figures to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson ranks in the 24th percentile for three-pointers scored with the home court advantage, logging 0.3 per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 10thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Amen Thompson has shot and missed 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.4 higher than he's missed over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

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