Amen Thompson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +260 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has played 37.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for threes; when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the highest three rate in the league this year (46.4%).
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has made 23.5% of his treys on the road this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 34.5% rate of converted threes settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Rockets.
Amen Thompson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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