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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Alperen Sengun has totaled 6.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.
  • Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year.
  • The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).
  • The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.
  • Alperen Sengun will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production across the board.

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