Alperen Sengun Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has totaled a whopping 3.2 offensive rebounds per game this season, significantly more than his 1.9 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Rockets.
The Pistons have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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