Alperen Sengun Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 1:31 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has averaged 3.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
Alperen Sengun has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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