Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2025

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · May 4, 2025

Updated May 5, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 18.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Alperen Sengun has sunk 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 29.7% more than he's converted over the course of the year at home.
Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 2.9 free throws per game (75th percentile).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.
When defending fellow starting Cs, Draymond Green slots into the 13th percentile with just 1.5 3-pointers attempted against him per game this year.
The Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors).

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