Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 3:45 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has converted 8.1 buckets per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Alperen Sengun has played 32.7 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Karl-Anthony Towns has been very high (2.2 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season (81st percentile).
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 45.6% field goal rate settles in as the 3rd-lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the Knicks).

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