Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has successfully made a whopping 8.4 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 5.9 rate last year.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a favorable one for field goals; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 62.2% of their field goals (93rd percentile).
The 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Pelicans have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have captured 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
Alperen Sengun should suffer a reduction in performance for all stats in light of playing away from home in this game.

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