Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 18.3 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Alperen Sengun has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Alperen Sengun has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The matchup against Nick Richards is a good one for field goals; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a massive 6.9 buckets per game (100th percentile).
The Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Rockets's lackluster 110.6 points per game while playing on the road rates 8th-weakest in the league this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Alperen Sengun will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production across the board.

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