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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has scored 25.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 more than he's scored overall this season.

Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun slots into the 75th percentile for field goal proficiency away from his home court with a a superb 51.5% rate this year.

Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year.

The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to offense, the Rockets's subpar 110.5 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 7th-fewest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a difficult one; he has allowed a mere 11.9 points per game when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.

The faceoff with Bam Adebayo in terms of getting to the charity stripe slots into the 17th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting only 2.6 free throws per game this year.

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