Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 9:43 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has made a terrific 8.3 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.9 mark last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (10.3).
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).