Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 10.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Alperen Sengun has tallied 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a strong one for threes; when the Pelicans are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.7%).
The Houston Rockets have played at the speediest pace in the league when playing at home this year.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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