Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has converted 100.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 57.7% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year away from home.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
The 76ers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 7 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun has made 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Joel Embiid is a difficult one; he has given up a mere 12.0 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The matchup vs. Joel Embiid is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game (7th percentile).
Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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