Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has made 8.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Alperen Sengun has converted 75.0% of his treys over the last 10 games, 41.7% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Alperen Sengun has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (which also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing at home.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for field goals; when playing on the road, opposing starting Cs have tallied the 5th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home (6th-least in the NBA).

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