Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has converted 54.1% of his field goals without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among all players [IN_THE_LEAGUE].
Alperen Sengun has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year on the road.
Alperen Sengun has attempted 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league this year at home, which ought to raise [OPPORTUNITIES_POSSESSIONS] for the Kings.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The matchup against the Kings is a tough one for field goals; while playing at home, opposing teams have put up the lowest field goal percentage [IN_THE_LEAGUE] this year (50.6%).
The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.
The matchup against the Kings is a challenging one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.5).
Alperen Sengun will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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