Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 54.3% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Alperen Sengun has converted 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Alperen Sengun has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The matchup against the Pelicans is a tough one for attempts from downtown; their opposition have totaled the 5th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (36.8).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year without the home court advantage.
Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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