Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2022

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 23, 2022

Updated Dec 23, 2022 10:53 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has averaged a terrific 14.4 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.6 points per game last season.
Alperen Sengun has attempted 3.9 foul shots per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league since the start of last season.
Alperen Sengun will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has made 20.0% of his three-pointers this year, ranking in the 18th percentile among all players in the league.
Alperen Sengun has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a hard one for scoring; the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 10th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (57.2%).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year (4th-least in the NBA).

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