Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+185/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has tallied a mere 2.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.7 fouls per game last year.
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (4.0).
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Pelicans).
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will likely get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun slots into the 20th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc playing at home, registering 1.6 per game this year.
The Rockets have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season.
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league while playing at home this year.
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (lengthening possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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